North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
29  George Parsons JR 31:22
48  Meron Simon SR 31:31
91  Bakri Abushouk SO 31:47
138  Sebastian Hanson SO 31:59
544  Zack Langston FR 33:04
623  Sam Roberson JR 33:12
648  Philip Hall FR 33:14
656  Tanis Baldwin FR 33:15
790  Vibushan Sivakumaran SR 33:29
National Rank #13 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 92.5%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 18.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 73.0%


Regional Champion 6.9%
Top 5 in Regional 80.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating George Parsons Meron Simon Bakri Abushouk Sebastian Hanson Zack Langston Sam Roberson Philip Hall Tanis Baldwin Vibushan Sivakumaran
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 490 31:41 31:34 31:47 31:41 32:48 32:44 33:02 33:18
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 535 31:29 31:34 32:01 31:58 33:39 32:57 32:50
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 33:36
ACC Championships 10/30 446 31:14 31:27 31:46 31:42 32:47 33:32 33:45 33:53 33:18
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 511 30:56 30:56 31:47 33:57 32:40 33:03 33:18
NCAA Championship 11/21 709 31:33 32:06 31:36 33:54 33:40 33:34 33:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 92.5% 15.7 427 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.4 6.2 6.5 5.9 5.8 6.1 4.4 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.8 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.0 123 6.9 13.3 17.4 21.4 21.2 16.0 3.2 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 98.4% 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.7
Meron Simon 95.5% 48.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4
Bakri Abushouk 92.8% 80.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4
Sebastian Hanson 92.6% 110.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Zack Langston 92.5% 226.9
Sam Roberson 92.5% 232.9
Philip Hall 92.5% 234.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 5.7 4.9 9.6 11.1 10.1 9.4 7.4 6.0 5.8 4.6 3.6 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6
Meron Simon 8.3 1.2 4.1 6.0 7.6 7.4 7.8 7.6 6.7 5.8 4.9 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.1 2.6 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8
Bakri Abushouk 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.9 3.9 4.1 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.5 2.8 2.0 2.2
Sebastian Hanson 20.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.9 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7
Zack Langston 68.3
Sam Roberson 76.4
Philip Hall 78.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.9% 100.0% 6.9 6.9 1
2 13.3% 100.0% 13.3 13.3 2
3 17.4% 100.0% 13.3 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.4 3
4 21.4% 100.0% 7.7 3.5 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 21.4 4
5 21.2% 94.1% 2.5 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.3 19.9 5
6 16.0% 76.8% 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.5 2.0 3.7 12.3 6
7 3.2% 39.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.9 1.2 7
8 0.6% 6.9% 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 92.5% 6.9 13.3 13.3 10.8 6.8 4.9 4.1 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.0 4.6 7.5 20.2 72.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 2.0 1.8
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Washington 77.6% 1.0 0.8
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 64.4% 1.0 0.6
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 3.0 0.2
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Navy 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 14.7
Minimum 8.0
Maximum 20.0